
Volume
$13K
Txns
160
Traders
34
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2024
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining xAI/X by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | +3,439.45 | $3.44K | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,689.45 | $1.69 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +750.00 | $0.75 | |
| 1y | fhantombets | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.55 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | tf2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -32.55 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 1y | fhantombets | Yes / 0.5¢ | +500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 1y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.5¢ | -222.00 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +222.00 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +10.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | KeV180 | No / 99.5¢ | +10.05 | $10 | |
| 1y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +100.50 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | DumplingBMF | No / 99.5¢ | +100.50 | $100 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.6¢ | -6.08 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.6¢ | +6.08 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.7¢ | +100.00 | $0.7 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.8¢ | -426.98 | $3.32 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.8¢ | +326.98 | $2.62 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.8¢ | -117.46 | $0.94 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.8¢ | +117.46 | $0.94 |
1–25
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 99%$227Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
No 100%$236Kvolume
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Yes 100%$96.4Kvolume
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Yes 100%$45.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 81%$123Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.14Mvolume