
Volume
$17K
Txns
204
Traders
34
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2024
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining xAI/X by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.
Trades
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 70%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 95%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
No 93%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 99%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | +3,439.45 | $3.44K | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,689.45 | $1.69 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +750.00 | $0.75 | |
| 2y | fhantombets | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.55 | $0.03 | |
| 2y | tf2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -32.55 | $0.03 | |
| 2y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 2y | fhantombets | Yes / 0.5¢ | +500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 2y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.5¢ | -222.00 | $1.11 | |
| 2y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +222.00 | $1.11 | |
| 2y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +10.05 | $0.05 | |
| 2y | KeV180 | No / 99.5¢ | +10.05 | $10 | |
| 2y | tf2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +100.50 | $0.5 | |
| 2y | DumplingBMF | No / 99.5¢ | +100.50 | $100 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.6¢ | -6.08 | $0.04 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.6¢ | +6.08 | $0.04 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.7¢ | +100.00 | $0.7 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.8¢ | -426.98 | $3.32 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.8¢ | +326.98 | $2.62 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.8¢ | -117.46 | $0.94 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.8¢ | +117.46 | $0.94 |
1–25