
Volume
$21K
Txns
510
Traders
140
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hurricane Imelda makes landfall in the conterminous United States as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If this system dissipates without attaining the specified category, this market will resolve to "No". The named system must make landfall in the coterminous US as a hurricane for this market to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If this system makes landfall more than one time, each landfall will be considered toward the resolution of this market. For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall. This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Imelda has made landfall within the conterminous United States as a hurricane within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.4¢ | -523.42 | $2.09 | |
| 8mo | speed3r | No / 99.6¢ | -523.42 | $521 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +138.85 | $0.14 | |
| 8mo | speed3r | No / 99.9¢ | +523.42 | $523 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +384.57 | $0.38 | |
| 8mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.10 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | m0rt | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.32 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | qunzter | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | pkz | No / 99.9¢ | +2,453.00 | $2.45K | |
| 8mo | JuliusNakamoto | No / 99.9¢ | -926.17 | $925 | |
| 8mo | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.96 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +249.99 | $0.25 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +495.00 | $0.49 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +672.56 | $0.67 | |
| 8mo | JuliusNakamoto | No / 99.9¢ | -72.82 | $72.7 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +213.91 | $0.21 | |
| 8mo | NFpANfOQqp | Yes / 0.1¢ | -286.73 | $0.29 | |
| 8mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +124.50 | $0.25 | |
| 8mo | tncaUoQNjK | Yes / 0.1¢ | -254.27 | $0.38 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +129.77 | $0.13 | |
| 8mo | tncaUoQNjK | Yes / 0.3¢ | -286.73 | $0.86 | |
| 8mo | NFpANfOQqp | Yes / 0.3¢ | +286.73 | $0.86 |
1–25
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$68.5Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$334Kvolume
Will Melissa become a category 4 hurricane?
Yes 100%$5.15Kvolume
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
No 100%$47.3Kvolume
Will Melissa become a category 2 hurricane?
Yes 100%$8.54Kvolume