Will Grune receive more than 14% of votes?

The 2024 European Parliament election in Germany is scheduled to be held on June 9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grune (the Greens) receives over 14% of votes cast in the 2024 European Parliament election in Germany. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.