
Volume
$2K
Txns
90
Traders
30
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$275
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$20.7Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 51%$4.53Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.62Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 81%$1.38Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h | 7... | Yes / 55.8¢ | -0.58 | $0.32 | |
| 22h | 48xsds | No / 43.0¢ | -0.58 | $0.25 | |
| 22h | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 47.8¢ | -4.64 | $2.22 | |
| 22h | 7... | Yes / 49.0¢ | +4.64 | $2.27 | |
| 22h | AJSV | No / 19.0¢ | +15.26 | $2.9 | |
| 22h | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 18.2¢ | -15.26 | $2.78 | |
| 22h | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 6.0¢ | +11.03 | $0.66 | |
| 22h | repl-others | Yes / 94.0¢ | +11.03 | $10.4 | |
| 22h | 7... | No / 5.0¢ | +4.06 | $0.2 | |
| 22h | 48xsds | Yes / 49.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.45 | |
| 22h | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 48.0¢ | -10.00 | $4.8 | |
| 22h | repl-others | Yes / 64.5¢ | +31.66 | $20.8 | |
| 22h | 48xsds | No / 26.0¢ | +12.60 | $3.28 | |
| 1d | repl-others | No / 66.0¢ | +24.03 | $16.1 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 34.0¢ | +24.03 | $8.17 | |
| 1d | 48xsds | Yes / 46.0¢ | +6.72 | $3.09 | |
| 1d | repl-others | No / 54.1¢ | +18.56 | $10.3 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 45.0¢ | +1.84 | $0.83 | |
| 1d | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 46.0¢ | +10.00 | $4.6 | |
| 2d | ancosero | No / 41.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.11 | |
| 2d | TraderProMax | No / 41.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.05 | |
| 2d | ancosero | No / 40.0¢ | +5.00 | $2 | |
| 2d | 48xsds | No / 38.8¢ | -5.00 | $1.94 | |
| 2d | ancosero | No / 44.0¢ | +20.00 | $9.05 | |
| 2d | TraderProMax | No / 44.0¢ | -20.00 | $8.8 |
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