
Volume
$36K
Txns
1,401
Traders
206
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download in the U.S by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The application must be officially released by xAI (or Elon Musk via official xAI/Grok communication channels). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | IlIlIIlIIIlI | No / 99.9¢ | -100.75 | $101 | |
| 11mo | gambler13 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.75 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | gambler13 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -201.00 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.2¢ | -245.27 | $0.49 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 99.8¢ | -45.27 | $45.2 | |
| 11mo | scarydairyraspberry | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 99.7¢ | +42.82 | $42.7 | |
| 11mo | petasan | No / 99.7¢ | -42.82 | $42.7 | |
| 11mo | scarydairyraspberry | No / 99.7¢ | +100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 99.7¢ | +2.45 | $2.44 | |
| 11mo | scarydairyraspberry | No / 99.8¢ | +50.01 | $49.9 | |
| 11mo | Onamiko2864 | No / 99.7¢ | -252.46 | $252 | |
| 11mo | scarydairyraspberry | No / 99.7¢ | +100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.82 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | petasan | No / 99.9¢ | +42.82 | $42.8 | |
| 11mo | Heldenkampf | No / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 11mo | scarydairyraspberry | No / 99.8¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 11mo | gpt-new | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.98 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.98 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | prince1pp | No / 99.8¢ | -24.99 | $24.9 | |
| 11mo | scarydairyraspberry | No / 99.8¢ | +24.99 | $24.9 |
1–25
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 96%$0volume