
Volume
$68K
Txns
805
Traders
142
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by xAI has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) continuously from February 18, to March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed modeI ties xAI for the #1 Arena score, it will not qualify to resolve this market to "No." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 96%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
Yes 58%$0volume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on l…
No 70%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
No 55%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | alex562 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,529.54 | $1.53K | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,110.54 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +419.00 | $0.42 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +481.00 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | BetterFish | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,362.00 | $4.36 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | BetterFish | Yes / 0.1¢ | +443.00 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +643.00 | $642 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.5¢ | -200.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | noyes00 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +161.20 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | usbtypec | Yes / 0.2¢ | -2,000.00 | $4.16 | |
| 1y | alex562 | No / 99.8¢ | -1,838.80 | $1.84K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,659.40 | $4.98 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.3¢ | -1,659.40 | $4.98 | |
| 1y | 8396239287 | No / 99.6¢ | -234.10 | $233 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +165.90 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.4¢ | -400.00 | $1.43 | |
| 1y | 8396239287 | No / 99.6¢ | -700.00 | $697 |
1–25