
Volume
$68K
Txns
805
Traders
142
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by xAI has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) continuously from February 18, to March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed modeI ties xAI for the #1 Arena score, it will not qualify to resolve this market to "No." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | alex562 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,529.54 | $1.53K | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,110.54 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +419.00 | $0.42 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +481.00 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | BetterFish | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,362.00 | $4.36 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | BetterFish | Yes / 0.1¢ | +443.00 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +643.00 | $642 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.5¢ | -200.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | noyes00 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +161.20 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | usbtypec | Yes / 0.2¢ | -2,000.00 | $4.16 | |
| 1y | alex562 | No / 99.8¢ | -1,838.80 | $1.84K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,659.40 | $4.98 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.3¢ | -1,659.40 | $4.98 | |
| 1y | 8396239287 | No / 99.6¢ | -234.10 | $233 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +165.90 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.4¢ | -400.00 | $1.43 | |
| 1y | 8396239287 | No / 99.6¢ | -700.00 | $697 |
1–25
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 87%$0volume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on l…
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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
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Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on l…
Yes 58%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 86%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 81%$0volume