
Volume
$957
Txns
71
Traders
31
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$5,300
Ends
May 8, 2026
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Yes 100% · $379K volume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $832K volume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1M volume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $993K volume
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 99% · $212K volume
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 100% · $163K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 0.6¢ | +13.62 | $0.08 | |
| 2h | influenz.eth | No / 99.4¢ | +13.62 | $13.5 | |
| 2h | Mojito9 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2h | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 0.9¢ | +8.06 | $0.07 | |
| 2h | Mojito9 | No / 99.2¢ | -6.95 | $6.89 | |
| 2h | melchior1248 | No / 99.1¢ | +25.00 | $24.8 | |
| 2h | Mojito9 | No / 99.2¢ | -3.05 | $3.03 | |
| 2h | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yes / 0.7¢ | +50.00 | $0.35 | |
| 2h | influenz.eth | No / 99.3¢ | +53.04 | $52.7 | |
| 2h | light343 | No / 98.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 2h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 2.0¢ | -19.00 | $0.38 | |
| 2h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 98.0¢ | +11.00 | $10.8 | |
| 2h | HomuraOda | Yes / 2.0¢ | +49.96 | $1 | |
| 5h | Mojito9 | Yes / 1.9¢ | -10.00 | $0.19 | |
| 5h | Mojito9 | No / 98.1¢ | +10.00 | $9.81 | |
| 5h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 2.0¢ | -81.00 | $1.62 | |
| 5h | 0x9f216C170D9441D35a6c8E2240a9078b38816CA8-1770465040133 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +100.92 | $2 | |
| 10h | Mojito9 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.11 | |
| 10h | Mojito9 | No / 98.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.89 | |
| 10h | daroghi | No / 98.9¢ | -30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 10h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 10h | X1099 | No / 99.0¢ | +149.94 | $148 | |
| 11h | sand1 | No / 96.6¢ | +50.00 | $48.3 | |
| 11h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 96.6¢ | +30.00 | $29 | |
| 11h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 96.6¢ | +10.00 | $9.66 |
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