
Volume
$245K
Txns
3,075
Traders
307
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 6, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.11Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.79Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 58%$740Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 97%$59.2Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 89%$944Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 97%$56.2Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | Ncg0005 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 10mo | MA88 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,711.92 | $3.71 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,288.08 | $4.28K | |
| 10mo | JohnMcLane | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8,000.00 | $8 | |
| 10mo | abcxyz123 | No / 99.9¢ | -110.18 | $110 | |
| 10mo | MA88 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -110.18 | $0.11 | |
| 10mo | MA88 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.10 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Comandos | No / 99.9¢ | -5.10 | $5.09 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -164.84 | $0.16 | |
| 10mo | aviato | No / 99.9¢ | +2,989.75 | $2.99K | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -142.61 | $0.14 | |
| 10mo | MA88 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,827.20 | $3.83 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -330.00 | $0.33 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | aviato | No / 99.9¢ | +10.25 | $10.2 | |
| 10mo | mrbricshot | No / 99.9¢ | -10.25 | $10.2 | |
| 10mo | garlictrump | No / 99.9¢ | -1,338.23 | $1.34K | |
| 10mo | Svarbhanu | No / 99.9¢ | +1,338.23 | $1.34K | |
| 10mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | aviato | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 10mo | Svarbhanu | No / 99.9¢ | +2,561.37 | $2.56K | |
| 10mo | kejsldohen | No / 99.9¢ | -200.40 | $200 | |
| 10mo | kejsldohen | No / 99.9¢ | -260.97 | $261 | |
| 10mo | DancingonMarshmellos | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,972.85 | $3.97 |
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