
Volume
$57K
Txns
3,254
Traders
257
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 14, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.12Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 99%$76.9Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 87%$1.81Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 55%$741Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 98%$62.3Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 75%$52.2Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.00 | $13 | |
| 10mo | scout | Yes / 0.1¢ | -13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,227.04 | $1.23 | |
| 10mo | scout | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,247.04 | $1.25 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -82.28 | $0.08 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +82.28 | $0.08 | |
| 10mo | NoMoreMister | No / 99.9¢ | +15.01 | $15 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.01 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | shine | No / 99.9¢ | +15.01 | $15 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.01 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +207.03 | $0.21 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -207.03 | $0.21 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -252.01 | $0.25 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +252.01 | $0.25 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +124.75 | $0.12 | |
| 10mo | oVyg7f | No / 99.9¢ | +124.75 | $125 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -44.98 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.98 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.89 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.01 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +572.03 | $1.14 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -955.02 | $1.53 | |
| 10mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 |
1–25