
Volume
$51K
Txns
3,080
Traders
250
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 12, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No 71%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 67%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 68%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | scout | Yes / 0.1¢ | -13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.00 | $13 | |
| 11mo | scout | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,682.94 | $1.68 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,682.94 | $1.68 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +206.10 | $0.21 | |
| 11mo | DreamOn1993 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -206.10 | $0.21 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | EdwardLewis | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -82.28 | $0.08 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +82.28 | $0.08 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.01 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.01 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | NoMoreMister | No / 99.9¢ | +15.01 | $15 | |
| 11mo | shine | No / 99.9¢ | +15.01 | $15 | |
| 11mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -207.03 | $0.21 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +207.03 | $0.21 | |
| 11mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -252.01 | $0.25 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +252.01 | $0.25 | |
| 11mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | oVyg7f | No / 99.9¢ | +124.75 | $125 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +70.13 | $0.07 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19.62 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -44.98 | $0.04 |
1–25