Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
ResolvedVolume
$104K
Txns
4,262
Traders
512
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
Volume
$104K
Txns
4,262
Traders
512
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$107Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.14Mvolume
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No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -99.54 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -108.87 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -42.94 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -648.65 | $0.65 | |
| 2mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | cyniclee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 0x8733...0654f7 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.38 | $5.37 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.38 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -346.00 | $0.35 | |
| 2mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | megadarkparticle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +26.00 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | laowen888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.03 | $1 | |
| 2mo | cqk | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,036.99 | $1.04 | |
| 2mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.96 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +198.01 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +198.01 | $198 | |
| 2mo | Kneel2NEIL | Yes / 0.1¢ | -364.14 | $0.36 | |
| 2mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +364.14 | $0.36 | |
| 2mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +66.15 | $0.07 | |
| 2mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +66.15 | $66.1 | |
| 2mo | 0x93e9ea409A99b9014cBAeAf05bc91b35ed7A1b70-1733728609771 | No / 99.8¢ | -18.23 | $18.2 |
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