
Volume
$12K
Txns
686
Traders
162
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 4, 2026
Apple is scheduled to host an event in New York City on March 4, 2026. (see: https://9to5mac.com/2026/02/16/apple-announces-special-nyc-event-for-march-4/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the Apple event scheduled for March 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise not aired by March 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be audio/video of this event.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | di99 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.16 | $2.16 | |
| 3mo | what-would-hayek-do | No / 99.9¢ | +2.16 | $2.16 | |
| 3mo | JJo | No / 99.9¢ | -0.38 | $0.38 | |
| 3mo | what-would-hayek-do | No / 99.9¢ | +0.38 | $0.38 | |
| 3mo | JJo | No / 99.9¢ | -220.52 | $220 | |
| 3mo | wendypeekaboo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +520.52 | $520 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.5¢ | +20.77 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.6¢ | -138.31 | $138 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.5¢ | +41.05 | $0.21 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.5¢ | +20.77 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | JJo | No / 99.6¢ | +220.90 | $220 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 98.5¢ | +0.46 | $0.45 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 1.5¢ | +0.46 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 1.5¢ | +24.51 | $0.37 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 98.5¢ | +24.51 | $24.1 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 98.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.85 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 3.5¢ | -71.32 | $2.5 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 3mo | 0x8e953bAd2C93C348f41154708E4C20f6016663D4-1772022973102 | Yes / 2.6¢ | +115.06 | $3 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 1.4¢ | -15.00 | $0.21 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.5¢ | +8.74 | $8.7 | |
| 3mo | 0x5def71253C9d611b6C1b7DCFe9a28d6Ea2EF31Fe-1772409944869 | No / 99.5¢ | -1.26 | $1.25 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.5¢ | +1.26 | $1.25 |
1–25
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Yes 93%$184Kvolume
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes 97%$113Kvolume
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
No 91%$3.47Kvolume
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
No 95%$3.76Kvolume
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
No 65%$306Kvolume
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
No 74%$8.85Kvolume