Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?
ResolvedVolume
$2M
Txns
12,939
Traders
1,845
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
Volume
$2M
Txns
12,939
Traders
1,845
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase of greater than 1.34°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly greater than 1.34°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | lranon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +64.74 | $64.7 | |
| 1y | woodsbrianna | Yes / 99.9¢ | -64.74 | $64.7 | |
| 1y | lranon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | TurboVince | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | lranon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +57.18 | $57.1 | |
| 1y | zimmermannathaniel | Yes / 99.9¢ | -57.18 | $57.1 | |
| 1y | maxisfine | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | lranon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | uliysanc | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.85 | $15.8 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.85 | $15.8 | |
| 1y | ShadowSniper | No / 0.1¢ | +36,248.35 | $36.2 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +46,134.69 | $46.1K | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -222.00 | $222 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -9,064.34 | $9.06K | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ShadowSniper | No / 0.1¢ | +100,000.00 | $100 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100,000.00 | $99.9K | |
| 1y | Dropper | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50,000.00 | $50K | |
| 1y | ShadowSniper | No / 0.1¢ | +50,000.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | 🍝👹 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +13,731.63 | $13.7K | |
| 1y | ShadowSniper | No / 0.1¢ | +13,731.63 | $13.7 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.2¢ | +10.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | lranon | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10.02 | $10 | |
| 1y | zarina222 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -20.02 | $19.9 |
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