
Volume
$2M
Txns
12,939
Traders
1,845
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase of greater than 1.34°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly greater than 1.34°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 89%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 90%$0volume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide…
No 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 99.9¢ | +64.74 | $64.7 | |
| 1y | woodsbrianna | Yes / 99.9¢ | -64.74 | $64.7 | |
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | TurboVince | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 99.9¢ | +57.18 | $57.1 | |
| 1y | zimmermannathaniel | Yes / 99.9¢ | -57.18 | $57.1 | |
| 1y | maxisfine | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | uliysanc | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.85 | $15.8 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.85 | $15.8 | |
| 1y | ShadowSniper | No / 0.1¢ | +36,248.35 | $36.2 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +46,134.69 | $46.1K | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -222.00 | $222 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -9,064.34 | $9.06K | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ShadowSniper | No / 0.1¢ | +100,000.00 | $100 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100,000.00 | $99.9K | |
| 1y | Dropper | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50,000.00 | $50K | |
| 1y | ShadowSniper | No / 0.1¢ | +50,000.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | 🍝👹 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +13,731.63 | $13.7K | |
| 1y | ShadowSniper | No / 0.1¢ | +13,731.63 | $13.7 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.2¢ | +10.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10.02 | $10 | |
| 1y | zarina222 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -20.02 | $19.9 |
1–25