
Volume
$782K
Txns
9,123
Traders
1,924
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of a named bracket for February 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for February 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.40 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Grace8915 | No / 99.9¢ | -14.40 | $14.4 | |
| 1y | donkeykongnig | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | donkeykongnig | No / 99.7¢ | +22.29 | $22.2 | |
| 1y | sokol3 | No / 99.7¢ | -22.29 | $22.2 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.29 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | sokol3 | No / 99.9¢ | +22.29 | $22.3 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.81 | $0 | |
| 1y | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +1.81 | $1.81 | |
| 1y | HAL9001 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,956.19 | $3.91 | |
| 1y | donkeykongnig | No / 99.8¢ | +1,956.19 | $1.95K | |
| 1y | influenz.eth | No / 99.8¢ | +23.81 | $23.8 | |
| 1y | HAL9001 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +23.81 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | HAL9001 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.6¢ | +21.95 | $21.9 | |
| 1y | 0xC0EfF43E81A443e16F3F2A0B4822E3Ab8932b158-1737382724630 | No / 99.6¢ | -21.95 | $21.9 | |
| 1y | Denise3304 | No / 99.6¢ | -17.77 | $17.7 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.6¢ | +17.77 | $17.7 | |
| 1y | kea1on | Yes / 0.4¢ | +500.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.6¢ | +500.00 | $498 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +31.67 | $31.6 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.67 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +184.16 | $0.18 |
1–25
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.7Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$334Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
No 52%$34.1Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
No 92%$1.39Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
No 94%$2.86Kvolume