
Volume
$908K
Txns
4,957
Traders
289
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase of between 1.25°C and 1.29°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.25°C and 1.29°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 61%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | aenews2 | No / 99.4¢ | +21,666.33 | $21.5K | |
| 1y | Apollo3 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +21,666.33 | $130 | |
| 1y | shelbydaniel | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | sosolan | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | sosolan | No / 99.9¢ | -2.64 | $2.64 | |
| 1y | kevinbaker-928 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.64 | $2.64 | |
| 1y | kellynguyen | No / 99.9¢ | +1.77 | $1.77 | |
| 1y | sosolan | No / 99.9¢ | -1.77 | $1.77 | |
| 1y | kimberly50 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.46 | $2.46 | |
| 1y | sosolan | No / 99.9¢ | -2.46 | $2.46 | |
| 1y | sosolan | No / 99.9¢ | -1.60 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | howardstephanie | No / 99.9¢ | +1.60 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.3¢ | +57,000.00 | $171 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | No / 99.7¢ | +57,000.00 | $56.8K | |
| 1y | aenews2 | No / 99.7¢ | +37,667.08 | $37.6K | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.3¢ | +37,667.08 | $113 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.7¢ | +40.00 | $39.9 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.3¢ | +40.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.3¢ | +40.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.7¢ | +40.00 | $39.9 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.3¢ | +188.82 | $0.57 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.7¢ | +188.82 | $188 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.7¢ | +180.00 | $179 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.3¢ | +180.00 | $0.54 | |
| 1y | Laresta | Yes / 0.3¢ | +55.95 | $0.17 |
1–25