Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?
ResolvedVolume
$74K
Txns
2,679
Traders
283
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 10, 2026
Volume
$74K
Txns
2,679
Traders
283
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 10, 2026
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Giar | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 0xD2bFFee8D84F66331d79465465bE4Cc04e87f9AD-1775485239156 | No / 99.9¢ | -8.30 | $8.29 | |
| 2mo | cartonprise | Yes / 0.1¢ | +62.46 | $0.06 | |
| 2mo | 0xD2bFFee8D84F66331d79465465bE4Cc04e87f9AD-1775485239156 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.74 | $7.73 | |
| 2mo | 0xMIX | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | OmaJane | No / 99.9¢ | +94.02 | $93.9 | |
| 2mo | 0xD2bFFee8D84F66331d79465465bE4Cc04e87f9AD-1775485239156 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.52 | $5.51 | |
| 2mo | cartonprise | Yes / 0.1¢ | +125.00 | $0.13 | |
| 2mo | OmaJane | No / 99.9¢ | +125.00 | $125 | |
| 2mo | cartonprise | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.19 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.19 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -162.64 | $0.16 | |
| 2mo | cartonprise | Yes / 0.1¢ | +162.64 | $0.16 | |
| 2mo | cartonprise | Yes / 0.1¢ | +641.71 | $0.64 | |
| 2mo | ballzi. | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,499.52 | $5.5 | |
| 2mo | raymon1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 2mo | norealtime | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | norealtime | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +865.81 | $0.87 | |
| 2mo | noid2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | openelon | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
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