Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?
ResolvedVolume
$95K
Txns
2,660
Traders
144
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
Volume
$95K
Txns
2,660
Traders
144
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of a named bracket for August 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2025 is provided by NASA by November 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | giff | No / 99.9¢ | -29.99 | $30 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | -29.99 | $0.03 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 9mo | m0rt | No / 99.9¢ | +45.00 | $45 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.00 | $0.04 | |
| 9mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +750.00 | $749 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +750.00 | $0.75 | |
| 9mo | FRANK.THE.TANK | No / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 9mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +769.68 | $1.54 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.4¢ | +1,000.00 | $4 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.6¢ | +500.00 | $3 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 9mo | noreasapa | No / 99.3¢ | +3,726.91 | $3.7K | |
| 9mo | rocky42009 | Yes / 1.8¢ | +457.23 | $8.23 | |
| 9mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 98.3¢ | -500.00 | $492 | |
| 9mo | cigarettes | No / 98.2¢ | +52.85 | $51.9 | |
| 9mo | 0x0505d8ae80769f9868b7d767Aab65B8B9bb48eae-1757512190673 | Yes / 1.8¢ | -38.92 | $0.7 | |
| 9mo | rocky42009 | Yes / 1.8¢ | +38.92 | $0.7 | |
| 9mo | rocky42009 | Yes / 1.8¢ | +52.85 | $0.95 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | No / 96.5¢ | -100.00 | $96.5 | |
| 9mo | St3f | Yes / 3.5¢ | -100.00 | $3.5 |
1–25
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