
Volume
$106K
Txns
5,132
Traders
271
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Yes 100%$697Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.51Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 100%$213Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 100%$369Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Yes 78%$80.5Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 92%$2.07Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | untaken | No / 99.9¢ | -6.59 | $6.58 | |
| 6mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.59 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +1,400.00 | $1.4K | |
| 6mo | 418Imateapot | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | phsr | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,550.00 | $3.1 | |
| 6mo | samuel7777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,450.00 | $5 | |
| 6mo | Cookedtan | No / 99.9¢ | +522.79 | $522 | |
| 6mo | NoMoreMister | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 6mo | kattt | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | kattt | Yes / 0.1¢ | +522.79 | $0.52 | |
| 6mo | kattt | Yes / 0.1¢ | +26.75 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | ZXWP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -26.75 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | kattt | Yes / 0.1¢ | +351.80 | $0.35 | |
| 6mo | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.1¢ | -351.80 | $0.35 | |
| 6mo | costcostaff01 | No / 99.9¢ | +48.66 | $48.6 | |
| 6mo | kattt | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.66 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | nomaderaiz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19.34 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | costcostaff01 | No / 99.9¢ | +19.34 | $19.3 | |
| 6mo | nomaderaiz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | nomaderaiz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +110.00 | $0.11 | |
| 6mo | k1tten | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | anciente | No / 99.9¢ | +110.00 | $110 | |
| 6mo | nomaderaiz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +130.00 | $0.13 | |
| 6mo | nomaderaiz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +110.00 | $0.11 | |
| 6mo | k1tten | No / 99.9¢ | +110.00 | $110 |
1–25