
Volume
$5M
Txns
21,031
Traders
3,810
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 94%$2.11Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
No 57%$542Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
No 89%$481Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.09Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 85%$728Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 63%$1.16Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +50.56 | $50.5 | |
| 6mo | DDDDDDDDDDD12DDDDDDDDDD | No / 99.9¢ | -50.56 | $50.5 | |
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +579.44 | $579 | |
| 6mo | Kokoel | No / 99.9¢ | -579.44 | $579 | |
| 6mo | minimada | No / 99.9¢ | -15.38 | $15.4 | |
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +15.38 | $15.4 | |
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +3,448.00 | $3.44K | |
| 6mo | Xindle | No / 99.9¢ | -3,448.00 | $3.44K | |
| 6mo | LilSpeedy | No / 99.9¢ | -5.23 | $5.22 | |
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +5.23 | $5.22 | |
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +106.13 | $106 | |
| 6mo | tsuyo0204244 | No / 99.9¢ | -106.13 | $106 | |
| 6mo | dansurewin | No / 99.9¢ | -9.13 | $9.12 | |
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +9.13 | $9.12 | |
| 6mo | zenmind | No / 99.9¢ | -102.12 | $102 | |
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +102.12 | $102 | |
| 6mo | rewrewfd | No / 99.9¢ | -140.85 | $141 | |
| 6mo | numbersandletters | No / 99.9¢ | +140.85 | $141 | |
| 6mo | zwxokx | No / 99.8¢ | +1,587.81 | $1.58K | |
| 6mo | zwxokx | No / 99.8¢ | +2,473.69 | $2.47K | |
| 6mo | OPTIONSKING | No / 99.8¢ | -4,061.50 | $4.05K | |
| 6mo | Bertschwert | No / 99.7¢ | +3.22 | $3.21 | |
| 6mo | emileber | No / 99.7¢ | -3.22 | $3.21 | |
| 6mo | Bertschwert | No / 99.7¢ | +2,481.14 | $2.47K | |
| 6mo | zwxokx | Yes / 0.3¢ | +2,481.14 | $7.44 |
1–25