
Volume
$8K
Txns
217
Traders
55
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the storm system currently named 'Francine' makes landfall in the conterminous US for the first time as a hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml). If Francine does not hit the United States by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL, and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall. This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Francine has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | 8haug | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | KimJeongPoon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 65%$335Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 74%$212Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.7Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
No 55%$34.1Kvolume
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?
No 100%$120Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$68.5Kvolume