
Volume
$3K
Txns
232
Traders
72
Fees
$24
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 21, 2026
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51m | AJSV | No / 71.0¢ | +20.00 | $14.2 | |
| 51m | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.96 | |
| 3h | cwc909 | Yes / 24.0¢ | -100.00 | $24 | |
| 3h | planktonXD | Yes / 24.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.2 | |
| 3h | pk175 | Yes / 24.0¢ | +105.00 | $26 | |
| 4h | planktonXD | Yes / 18.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.9 | |
| 4h | sollyisreal | No / 82.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.13 | |
| 4h | sollyisreal | No / 81.0¢ | +5.27 | $4.3 | |
| 4h | AJSV | Yes / 19.0¢ | +5.27 | $1 | |
| 4h | nicfaub | No / 83.0¢ | +1.20 | $1.01 | |
| 4h | AJSV | Yes / 17.0¢ | +1.20 | $0.2 | |
| 9h | shrekomatic | Yes / 20.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.03 | |
| 9h | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 20.0¢ | -5.00 | $1 | |
| 10h | misterwilly | Yes / 28.0¢ | +7.14 | $2.06 | |
| 10h | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 28.0¢ | -7.14 | $2 | |
| 14h | AJSV | Yes / 9.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.45 | |
| 14h | 0xF3E0bB615bfF695F32EAce28feA0AF32869152c2-1778728625095 | Yes / 8.7¢ | -5.00 | $0.43 | |
| 15h | 0xdB85af4F197Bb6582C2C8e511Ccfe2B163Fa013f-1778608676235 | Yes / 5.8¢ | -3.33 | $0.19 | |
| 15h | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +3.33 | $0.2 | |
| 16h | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +8.33 | $0.75 | |
| 16h | oajdlkfjaldfs | Yes / 8.7¢ | -8.33 | $0.72 | |
| 17h | Momchilysm | Yes / 5.8¢ | -6.45 | $0.37 | |
| 17h | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +6.45 | $0.39 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +2.13 | $0.13 | |
| 1d | UGVKHYGIUHJL | No / 94.0¢ | +2.13 | $2 |
1–25
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Yes 80%$36.2Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Yes 64%$25.8Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Yes 75%$17.9Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?
No 99%$16Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?
No 65%$8.3Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?
No 74%$1.94Kvolume