
Volume
$236K
Txns
4,352
Traders
392
Fees
$1,564
Ends
May 21, 2026
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h | 0xb0deF1BEeb51bB63A9141576b6bAd7b91EAec36F-1777944385999 | No / 99.5¢ | +159.02 | $158 | |
| 17h | yen4u | No / 99.9¢ | +325.81 | $325 | |
| 17h | 0x8004819FBb9C7613Aa8077525E915a40aAFDb52e-1779418077739 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +704.60 | $2.08 | |
| 17h | rette33 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -219.77 | $0.88 | |
| 17h | Mr.Polaki | No / 99.9¢ | -574.12 | $574 | |
| 17h | yen4u | No / 99.9¢ | +96.02 | $95.9 | |
| 17h | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +478.10 | $478 | |
| 18h | 0xF0aA700D8932078682F89F6F7D967fcc6Fc196F5-1773800276368 | No / 99.9¢ | -23.43 | $23.4 | |
| 18h | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +23.43 | $23.4 | |
| 18h | yeeeyee | No / 99.9¢ | -41.38 | $41.3 | |
| 18h | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +41.38 | $41.3 | |
| 18h | szy10010 | No / 99.9¢ | -458.09 | $458 | |
| 18h | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +458.09 | $458 | |
| 18h | rette33 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +157.49 | $0.31 | |
| 18h | XuRi888 | No / 99.9¢ | +5,880.26 | $5.87K | |
| 18h | Bankrupt-Loser | No / 99.9¢ | -5,472.77 | $5.47K | |
| 18h | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 18h | 0x81e7a2ab8E6268009643Da1CAb2368adb0457389-1774921607278 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 18h | 0xb0deF1BEeb51bB63A9141576b6bAd7b91EAec36F-1777944385999 | No / 99.7¢ | +2,716.84 | $2.71K | |
| 18h | matthewceo | No / 99.7¢ | -2,716.84 | $2.71K | |
| 18h | matthewceo | No / 99.7¢ | -1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 18h | proposal123 | No / 99.7¢ | +1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 18h | matthewceo | No / 99.7¢ | -501.50 | $500 | |
| 18h | OraculumNobius | No / 99.7¢ | +501.50 | $500 | |
| 18h | rette33 | Yes / 1.6¢ | -35.34 | $0.57 |
1–25
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 96%$209Kvolume
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Yes 100%$96.4Kvolume
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Yes 100%$45.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 81%$123Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.13Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$435Kvolume