Will fewer than 5 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Senate Democrats who vote in favor of passing the next government funding bill (e.g., a Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the U.S. Senate. For the purpose of this market, independent senators will be counted toward the party with which they caucus. If no vote takes place on the next government funding bill by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based solely on the first vote on passage of the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes. If a continuing resolution (CR) passes by unanimous consent, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.