Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
ResolvedVolume
$148K
Txns
5,568
Traders
1,492
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
Volume
$148K
Txns
5,568
Traders
1,492
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | Mywin | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | oVyg7f | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 10mo | 1O6o8T | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | PLAYBABY | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 119hope | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | QlongQ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 10mo | Slaveukr163 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | jbout | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | MA88 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 169ggg | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | wzvjpsgeplj | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 10mo | rustedSoul | No / 99.9¢ | +52.00 | $51.9 | |
| 10mo | Yiyou | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | G999 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | cwc909 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 10mo | hoti9 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | tjiba8oh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | OOOIFX | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | lenore854salvatore | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | Yiyou | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 11mo | Georgoyle | No / 99.7¢ | -6.67 | $6.65 | |
| 11mo | sindoo | No / 99.7¢ | +6.67 | $6.65 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | No / 99.7¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 |
1–25
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?
No 100%$116Kvolume
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?
Yes 100%$772Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?
No 100%$43.2Kvolume
Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?
No 100%$63.1Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$242Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$288Kvolume