
Volume
$768K
Txns
7,649
Traders
1,142
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and July 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | JaidenAnimations | No / 99.9¢ | -23.56 | $23.5 | |
| 10mo | jfft1 | No / 99.9¢ | +23.56 | $23.5 | |
| 10mo | JaidenAnimations | No / 99.9¢ | -750.76 | $750 | |
| 10mo | jfft1 | No / 99.9¢ | +750.76 | $750 | |
| 10mo | Volyn | No / 99.9¢ | -1,488.54 | $1.49K | |
| 10mo | jfft1 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,488.54 | $1.49K | |
| 10mo | ArthurGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -134.99 | $135 | |
| 10mo | jfft1 | No / 99.9¢ | +134.99 | $135 | |
| 10mo | jfft1 | No / 99.9¢ | +34.50 | $34.5 | |
| 10mo | tunshi99 | No / 99.9¢ | -34.50 | $34.5 | |
| 10mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +66.67 | $0.07 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10mo | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 10mo | jfft1 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,966.67 | $1.96K | |
| 10mo | amosotis | No / 99.8¢ | -123.75 | $124 | |
| 10mo | shsyci | No / 99.8¢ | +123.75 | $124 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.10 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | JoE | No / 99.9¢ | +16.10 | $16.1 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +233.00 | $0.23 | |
| 10mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +395.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10mo | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -161.00 | $161 | |
| 10mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +201.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
No 95%$6.26Kvolume
Will Andrew Yang join the America Party?
No 100%$71.6Kvolume
Will Thomas Massie join the America Party?
No 100%$26.3Kvolume
America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?
No 100%$38.2Kvolume
Will Kanye West join the America Party?
No 100%$23.7Kvolume
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?
No 100%$144Kvolume