
Volume
$16K
Txns
495
Traders
99
Fees
$32
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Elon Musk providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.2Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | JusDuC | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | g4mbl3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | 0xMonzi | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | JusDuC | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | 0xba2c...0f54d0 | No / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 5273853 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1mo | .Menthe | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 99.8¢ | -7.40 | $7.39 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | No / 0.1¢ | +37.96 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | CosmicCedar | Yes / 99.9¢ | +95.36 | $95.3 | |
| 1mo | Fwostydwinks | Yes / 98.1¢ | -7.22 | $7.08 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 98.2¢ | +7.22 | $7.09 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 98.0¢ | +0.22 | $0.22 | |
| 1mo | Vilmarprocopio | Yes / 97.9¢ | -0.22 | $0.22 | |
| 1mo | Annihilation | Yes / 99.6¢ | +591.57 | $589 | |
| 1mo | wagmi420 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -591.66 | $589 | |
| 1mo | akunai | No / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | ma99 | No / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | Annihilation | Yes / 99.5¢ | +329.93 | $328 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 99.4¢ | -30.00 | $29.8 | |
| 1mo | fm14 | No / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 97.8¢ | +30.00 | $29.3 | |
| 1mo | 0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586 | No / 2.3¢ | -88.75 | $2.04 | |
| 1mo | rocky42001 | Yes / 97.8¢ | +204.00 | $200 | |
| 1mo | Hhgcfdd | Yes / 97.7¢ | -322.75 | $315 |
1–25