
Volume
$186K
Txns
3,516
Traders
1,099
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led by him, enters into an agreement to buy OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announced agreement between Elon Musk and OpenAI will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. An agreement to merge with an entity led by Elon Musk will count toward "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Yes 100%$132Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 100%$141Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 97%$3.32Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 93%$1.95Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 100%$654Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
No 97%$99.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | anthony85 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.35 | $0 | |
| 1y | sverlee7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.35 | $1.35 | |
| 1y | anthony85 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -103.09 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | CrashOverride95 | No / 99.9¢ | -103.09 | $103 | |
| 1y | LBZone | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | anthony85 | No / 99.8¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,389.11 | $2.39 | |
| 1y | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | -350.00 | $350 | |
| 1y | mitraa | No / 99.9¢ | +2,739.11 | $2.74K | |
| 1y | anthony85 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.3¢ | -10.50 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.3¢ | -10.50 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | GollumGekko | No / 99.6¢ | +311.25 | $310 | |
| 1y | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.4¢ | -10.50 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | anthony85 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +342.75 | $1.35 | |
| 1y | e001kx | No / 99.9¢ | +29.03 | $29 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Harsi | No / 99.9¢ | +32.03 | $32 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | pnevmoslon | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | d111RET | No / 99.9¢ | +17.02 | $17 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | hollowaymax | No / 99.9¢ | +30.03 | $30 |
1–25