Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
ResolvedVolume
$446K
Txns
10,208
Traders
1,453
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Volume
$446K
Txns
10,208
Traders
1,453
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | ddolsw123r | Yes / 99.9¢ | +13.00 | $13 | |
| 3mo | 88mnm88 | No / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 88mnm88 | No / 1.9¢ | -2.04 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | magicman1000 | Yes / 98.1¢ | -2.04 | $2 | |
| 3mo | 88mnm88 | No / 0.1¢ | +39.95 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | selador | Yes / 99.9¢ | +39.95 | $39.9 | |
| 3mo | Anon321321 | No / 0.1¢ | +38.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +38.00 | $38 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | No / 0.4¢ | -8.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | Yes / 99.5¢ | +2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 3mo | yzhaobk-nrt | No / 0.4¢ | +8.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | Anon321321 | No / 0.4¢ | +6.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | No / 0.4¢ | -4.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | Anon321321 | No / 0.4¢ | +12.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | No / 0.4¢ | -12.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | ZXWP | No / 0.3¢ | +50.15 | $0.15 | |
| 3mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | Yes / 99.7¢ | +50.15 | $50 | |
| 3mo | Trustinghorse | Yes / 99.9¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 3mo | edamamezi | No / 0.1¢ | +22.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | Blaorra | No / 0.1¢ | +37.64 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | 0x6f744f5B7B204e6A53B4bdC706981A74636F0E53-1769518018534 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | selador | Yes / 99.9¢ | +415.83 | $415 | |
| 3mo | Kanp | No / 0.1¢ | +44.58 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Owwwnn | No / 0.1¢ | +31.76 | $0.03 |
1–25
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$242Kvolume
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
No 100%$163Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$288Kvolume
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
No 100%$196Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$745Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$355Kvolume