
Volume
$365
Txns
38
Traders
16
Fees
$1
Ends
May 3, 2026
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump during his first public appearance during which he wears a tie on the specified date (ET). The color will be determined based solely on the first publicly available photo or video of the appearance. Reporting of the tie color without photos or videos will not be considered. Subsequent publication of other photos or videos, including those taken earlier, will not affect the resolution. For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg This tie would count as "Red": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date, does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Yes 100% · $348K volume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
No 100% · $443K volume
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No 97% · $47.7M volume
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
No 100% · $197K volume
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
No 98% · $347K volume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
No 100% · $492K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7h | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7h | Michael5289 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 8h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8h | DkOYL | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 8h | 8.... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +17.71 | $0.04 | |
| 8h | 8.... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.86 | $0.02 | |
| 8h | 8.... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.86 | $0.02 | |
| 8h | 8.... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +64.67 | $0.13 | |
| 8h | aHjCz | No / 99.8¢ | +100.09 | $99.9 | |
| 8h | 8.... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 8h | beulah-autvoluptas941 | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 8h | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8h | Michael5289 | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 21h | 8.... | Yes / 2.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.02 | |
| 21h | 0x9882...08c029 | No / 98.1¢ | +1.02 | $1 | |
| 23h | 8.... | Yes / 2.0¢ | +1.35 | $0.03 | |
| 23h | godblessme2026 | Yes / 1.9¢ | -1.35 | $0.03 | |
| 1d | Smurf9k | Yes / 30.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1d | aHjCz | No / 70.6¢ | +4.96 | $3.5 | |
| 2d | arunika | Yes / 6.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.06 | |
| 2d | Bunter.Hiden | No / 94.2¢ | +1.06 | $1 | |
| 2d | Smurf9k | Yes / 9.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.45 | |
| 2d | cry.eth2 | Yes / 8.7¢ | -5.00 | $0.43 | |
| 2d | Smurf9k | Yes / 9.0¢ | +25.00 | $2.25 |
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