
Volume
$158
Txns
13
Traders
10
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 4, 2026
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump during his first public appearance during which he wears a tie on the specified date (ET). The color will be determined based solely on the first publicly available photo or video of the appearance. Reporting of the tie color without photos or videos will not be considered. Subsequent publication of other photos or videos, including those taken earlier, will not affect the resolution. For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg This tie would count as "Red": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date, does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
No 100% · $443K volume
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No 98% · $47.7M volume
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
No 96% · $301K volume
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
No 100% · $161K volume
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
No 64% · $267K volume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Yes 76% · $132K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 90.0¢ | +13.00 | $11.7 | |
| 1h | Mojito9 | No / 90.0¢ | +10.00 | $9 | |
| 1h | YakobKXB | Yes / 10.0¢ | +22.92 | $2.3 | |
| 3h | 0xbcbAa7c1361C144ab53Ee26d37C5B279f5A0223f-1765154888779 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +13.64 | $1.5 | |
| 3h | Stol | Yes / 10.0¢ | +50.00 | $5 | |
| 3h | Semio12 | No / 90.1¢ | +63.41 | $57.1 | |
| 6h | 0xbcbAa7c1361C144ab53Ee26d37C5B279f5A0223f-1765154888779 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +13.64 | $1.5 | |
| 6h | Stol | Yes / 11.0¢ | +42.54 | $4.68 | |
| 6h | lastwag | No / 89.3¢ | +55.96 | $50 | |
| 6h | Stol | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.62 | $0.62 | |
| 6h | bot103 | No / 89.3¢ | +5.60 | $5 | |
| 9h | Smurf9k | Yes / 17.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.7 | |
| 9h | itsjustcheddar | No / 83.5¢ | +9.94 | $8.3 |
1–13