
Volume
$1K
Txns
47
Traders
21
Fees
$1
Ends
May 3, 2026
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump during his first public appearance during which he wears a tie on the specified date (ET). The color will be determined based solely on the first publicly available photo or video of the appearance. Reporting of the tie color without photos or videos will not be considered. Subsequent publication of other photos or videos, including those taken earlier, will not affect the resolution. For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg This tie would count as "Red": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date, does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | Smurf9k | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 2mo | DkOYL | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | aHjCz | No / 0.1¢ | +100.10 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | salchipapas | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.87 | $8.86 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +91.23 | $91.1 | |
| 2mo | mountaingreen | No / 0.2¢ | +15.00 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | shaniya-soluta471 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 2mo | rocketcrypto | No / 1.0¢ | +0.12 | $0 | |
| 2mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +105.08 | $104 | |
| 2mo | iacceptcookies | Yes / 99.0¢ | -105.00 | $104 | |
| 2mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 98.1¢ | +38.43 | $37.7 | |
| 2mo | mountaingreen | No / 2.0¢ | +38.46 | $0.77 | |
| 2mo | 0x31b2...401f93 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +4.88 | $4.83 | |
| 2mo | rocketcrypto | No / 1.0¢ | +4.88 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | hesure | No / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 95.2¢ | +19.96 | $19 | |
| 2mo | Mojito9 | No / 8.0¢ | +8.90 | $0.71 | |
| 2mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 92.3¢ | +8.87 | $8.19 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 91.0¢ | -45.00 | $41 | |
| 2mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 91.3¢ | +44.85 | $41 | |
| 2mo | Mojito9 | No / 8.0¢ | +1.10 | $0.09 | |
| 2mo | 0xa296...f59c36 | Yes / 92.3¢ | +1.09 | $1.01 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 90.0¢ | -105.00 | $94.5 |
1–25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
Yes 66%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 99%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume