
Volume
$171
Txns
20
Traders
4
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 11, 2026
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump during his first public appearance during which he wears a tie on the specified date (ET). The color will be determined based solely on the first publicly available photo or video of the appearance. Reporting of the tie color without photos or videos will not be considered. Subsequent publication of other photos or videos, including those taken earlier, will not affect the resolution. For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg This tie would count as "Red": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date, does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | animal.bean | No / 93.0¢ | +51.28 | $47.8 | |
| 5h | 0xec51439e69db53363a4cb9c53710568efc3ae4e | Yes / 7.0¢ | +51.28 | $3.59 | |
| 6h | 0x29043d19b4DD3c6C46CDf2FE35B89D748fFeB3e | Yes / 7.0¢ | +39.69 | $2.78 | |
| 6h | animal.bean | Yes / 6.7¢ | -39.69 | $2.67 | |
| 6h | animal.bean | Yes / 8.7¢ | -68.50 | $5.94 | |
| 6h | 0xec51439e69db53363a4cb9c53710568efc3ae4e | Yes / 9.0¢ | +68.50 | $6.17 | |
| 6h | 0x29043d19b4DD3c6C46CDf2FE35B89D748fFeB3e | Yes / 6.0¢ | +86.20 | $5.17 | |
| 6h | animal.bean | No / 94.0¢ | +86.20 | $81.2 | |
| 6h | 0x29043d19b4DD3c6C46CDf2FE35B89D748fFeB3e | Yes / 6.0¢ | +14.99 | $0.9 | |
| 6h | animal.bean | Yes / 5.8¢ | -14.99 | $0.87 | |
| 6h | 0x29043d19b4DD3c6C46CDf2FE35B89D748fFeB3e | Yes / 6.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.3 | |
| 6h | animal.bean | Yes / 5.8¢ | -5.00 | $0.29 | |
| 6h | 0x29043d19b4DD3c6C46CDf2FE35B89D748fFeB3e | Yes / 17.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.85 | |
| 6h | animal.bean | Yes / 16.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.82 | |
| 7h | 0x29043d19b4DD3c6C46CDf2FE35B89D748fFeB3e | Yes / 18.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.9 | |
| 7h | animal.bean | Yes / 17.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.87 | |
| 7h | aHjCz | No / 82.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.13 | |
| 7h | 0x29043d19b4DD3c6C46CDf2FE35B89D748fFeB3e | Yes / 18.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.9 | |
| 7h | aHjCz | No / 89.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.47 | |
| 7h | 0x29043d19b4DD3c6C46CDf2FE35B89D748fFeB3e | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.55 |
1–20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83%$30.4Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$556Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.37Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
No 100%$388Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 99%$407Kvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.17Mvolume