
Volume
$1,022
Txns
156
Traders
60
Fees
$6
Liquidity
$243
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 80% · $27.9M volume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 92% · $586K volume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Yes 74% · $345K volume
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
No 100% · $334K volume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 82% · $284K volume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 98% · $274K volume
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