Volume
$2K
Txns
88
Traders
34
Fees
$8
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 26kmhou | No / 11.6¢ | -42.00 | $4.86 | |
| 1h | vinii | Yes / 88.0¢ | -42.00 | $37 | |
| 3h | PolyEGG | Yes / 88.0¢ | +9.89 | $8.7 | |
| 3h | 5631065dfeds | Yes / 87.6¢ | -20.00 | $17.5 | |
| 3h | tradetosurvive1 | No / 12.0¢ | -10.11 | $1.21 | |
| 3h | Jdubiez | Yes / 89.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.47 | |
| 3h | title1 | No / 11.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.55 | |
| 3h | vinii | Yes / 87.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.4 | |
| 3h | 1565641sfdas | Yes / 86.5¢ | -20.00 | $17.3 | |
| 3h | 541410 | No / 10.6¢ | -20.00 | $2.12 | |
| 3h | title1 | No / 11.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.2 | |
| 3h | title1 | No / 11.0¢ | +42.00 | $4.62 | |
| 3h | caiying | No / 10.6¢ | -42.00 | $4.46 | |
| 3h | Mojito9 | Yes / 89.0¢ | -9.70 | $8.63 | |
| 3h | wfsxfwetrdsf | No / 10.6¢ | -19.40 | $2.06 | |
| 3h | title1 | No / 11.0¢ | +9.70 | $1.07 | |
| 3h | SPLPB | Yes / 88.0¢ | -22.60 | $19.9 | |
| 3h | htrrr | No / 11.6¢ | -42.00 | $4.86 | |
| 3h | wfsxfwetrdsf | No / 12.0¢ | +19.40 | $2.33 | |
| 3h | SPLPB | Yes / 88.0¢ | -33.00 | $29 | |
| 3h | topwu | No / 11.6¢ | -33.00 | $3.82 | |
| 4h | PolyEGG | Yes / 88.0¢ | +5.01 | $4.43 | |
| 4h | SPLPB | Yes / 88.0¢ | -5.01 | $4.41 | |
| 4h | title1 | Yes / 86.6¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 4h | vinii | Yes / 87.0¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
No 64%$647Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Yes 69%$148Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
No 100%$114Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
No 100%$91.4Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 96%$2.5Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 92%$41.1Mvolume