
Volume
$345K
Txns
2,649
Traders
555
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed modeI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +24.89 | $24.9 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.89 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | mamba | No / 99.6¢ | -609.75 | $607 | |
| 6mo | R23poyrffsddfdsfd43554 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -37.20 | $0.19 | |
| 6mo | Malganis | No / 99.8¢ | +8.29 | $8.27 | |
| 6mo | acal | Yes / 0.6¢ | -99.21 | $0.6 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.4¢ | -8.32 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -45.24 | $0.23 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -15.15 | $0.08 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -38.85 | $0.19 | |
| 6mo | R23poyrffsddfdsfd43554 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -13.10 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Makise.Kurisu | No / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 6mo | R23poyrffsddfdsfd43554 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -6.75 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.4¢ | -57.60 | $0.23 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -17.40 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -43.00 | $0.21 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | -19.64 | $0.06 | |
| 6mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.46 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | MyLige | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +138.00 | $0.14 | |
| 6mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +759.97 | $0.76 | |
| 6mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 |
1–25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No 86%$0volume
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 74%$0volume
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Ar…
No 99%$0volume
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot…
No 97%$0volume
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot…
No 100%$0volume
Will Company A be the largest company in the world by market cap on June…
No 100%$0volume