Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$254K
Txns
2,209
Traders
482
Fees
$8
Liquidity
$12,858
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$254K
Txns
2,209
Traders
482
Fees
$8
Liquidity
$12,858
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h | iliabouchouev | No / 98.6¢ | -1.10 | $1.09 | |
| 8h | PPMT | Yes / 1.3¢ | -1.10 | $0.01 | |
| 13h | HLucaY | No / 98.6¢ | -5.73 | $5.65 | |
| 13h | PPMT | Yes / 1.3¢ | -5.73 | $0.07 | |
| 1d | krasn0v1972 | No / 99.4¢ | -58.00 | $57.7 | |
| 1d | obamaosama | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1,015.47 | $4.93 | |
| 1d | Wojtek | Yes / 0.5¢ | +957.47 | $4.79 | |
| 1d | 8cA4F1 | No / 99.3¢ | +10.07 | $10 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 0.7¢ | +10.07 | $0.07 | |
| 2d | PPMT | Yes / 0.7¢ | +1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | 0xff09...ff25ab | No / 99.3¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 2d | 0x475b...1d8594 | No / 99.3¢ | +1.99 | $2 | |
| 2d | PPMT | Yes / 0.7¢ | +1.99 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | 51dgfd | Yes / 0.8¢ | -6.54 | $0.05 | |
| 2d | elmcap2 | No / 99.0¢ | +140.81 | $139 | |
| 2d | 0xC4A7523e78D5a904d9f03BebBa723b7A8bF9898A-1773297208920 | No / 99.1¢ | +8.80 | $8.72 | |
| 2d | 51dgfd | Yes / 0.9¢ | -15.30 | $0.14 | |
| 2d | libratus1 | No / 99.0¢ | -195.74 | $194 | |
| 2d | 51dgfd | Yes / 0.9¢ | -24.29 | $0.22 | |
| 4d | 51dgfd | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.20 | $0.01 | |
| 4d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 99.1¢ | -1.20 | $1.19 | |
| 4d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 99.5¢ | +1.21 | $1.2 | |
| 4d | Olka | Yes / 0.5¢ | +1.21 | $0.01 | |
| 5d | 0x3CFf61C9A93C80B02081c7859853e701BbF76fBd-1780459443269 | No / 99.1¢ | -1.11 | $1.1 | |
| 5d | 51dgfd | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.11 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.16Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
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Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
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