Volume
$961
Txns
11
Traders
8
Fees
$9
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | 0xc24f...be220b | No / 50.0¢ | +41.74 | $21.3 | |
| 4h | GoodNightIHope | Yes / 50.0¢ | +41.74 | $20.9 | |
| 4h | Carlcheang123 | No / 50.0¢ | +20.08 | $10.2 | |
| 4h | GoodNightIHope | Yes / 50.0¢ | +2.18 | $1.09 | |
| 4h | 0x38d2...bc4d20 | No / 50.0¢ | +2.18 | $1.11 | |
| 4h | GoodNightIHope | Yes / 50.0¢ | +20.08 | $10 | |
| 4h | GoodNightIHope | Yes / 50.0¢ | +850.00 | $425 | |
| 4h | CopyTradersDESTROYER | No / 50.0¢ | +850.00 | $434 | |
| 20h | AJSV | No / 22.0¢ | +32.72 | $7.2 | |
| 20h | johnnath1222 | Yes / 78.4¢ | +37.98 | $30 | |
| 20h | qqqppp-l1 | No / 19.0¢ | +5.26 | $1 |
1–11
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 56%$55.1Mvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
No 95%$7.7Kvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
No 94%$8.88Kvolume
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
No 84%$50.2Kvolume
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Yes 50%$79.6Kvolume
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 72%$116Kvolume