Will Dan Jarvis be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Secretary of State for Transport of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Secretary of State for Transport will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary of State for Transport is appointed, or Heidi Alexander is re-appointed as Secretary of State for Transport, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Transport Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.