
Volume
$23K
Txns
663
Traders
181
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 2, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, John Cornyn becomes the favorite in the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner) for any four-hour period ending by March 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. John Cornyn will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Ken Paxton in more individual minutes than Ken Paxton is ahead of John Cornyn during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-cornyn-flip-paxton-for-texas-rep-senate-primary-winner or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 56%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | nfghtrf | No / 99.8¢ | +4.01 | $4 | |
| 4mo | HiImDuReX | Yes / 0.2¢ | +4.01 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | peterferguson | Yes / 0.1¢ | +988.53 | $1.15 | |
| 4mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 1.5¢ | -11.53 | $0.17 | |
| 4mo | RememberAmalek | No / 99.9¢ | +977.00 | $976 | |
| 4mo | 0x5aE33E5B963ca6915223F9ed28d35e4D891A2aEb-1765039635431 | No / 99.9¢ | -23.00 | $23 | |
| 4mo | RememberAmalek | No / 99.9¢ | +23.00 | $23 | |
| 4mo | CryptoSnoopy | Yes / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | 88mnm88 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | mehanizator | Yes / 0.1¢ | -999.28 | $1 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,666.72 | $1.67 | |
| 4mo | C1ndereIIa | No / 99.9¢ | -2,666.00 | $2.66K | |
| 4mo | Danielsan51 | No / 99.9¢ | -39.21 | $39.2 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -39.21 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | CryptoSnoopy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -213.22 | $0.21 | |
| 4mo | vtat | No / 99.9¢ | -213.22 | $213 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -378.03 | $0.38 | |
| 4mo | schneider | No / 99.9¢ | -378.03 | $378 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Snayder53p | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.82 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | futuristicbaguette | No / 99.9¢ | -30.82 | $30.8 | |
| 4mo | C1ndereIIa | No / 99.8¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 |
1–25