Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?

The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Straughan wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Conclave'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.