Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in Nepal’s House of Representatives (Pratinidhi Sabha) as a result of this election. If voting in the next Nepali election for the House of Representatives does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Commission, Nepal (https://election.gov.np/np/).