
Volume
$583
Txns
150
Traders
31
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | 0x68B0Ef9403ff0164F52F6204D97220bFA0A852Cb-1770903157214 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 2d | plainfolder | Yes / 0.1¢ | -46.24 | $0.05 | |
| 2d | Bigggggggg | Yes / 0.1¢ | -795.02 | $0.8 | |
| 2d | 0xdad84dd51ee240ce157787b87ff2e0a60f639db1-1798124654912 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -158.74 | $0.16 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.12 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.12 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | 0xb0D62E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0E7475-9683829969984 | No / 99.8¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 2d | Corlys | No / 99.9¢ | +13.00 | $13 | |
| 2d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +21.00 | $0.04 | |
| 2d | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.73 | $0 | |
| 2d | DkOYL | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.73 | $0 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.68 | $0 | |
| 2d | DkOYL | No / 99.9¢ | +2.68 | $2.68 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | Corlys | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 2d | DkOYL | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.00 | $0 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 99.9¢ | +7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 2d | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3d | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.86 | $0.02 | |
| 3d | bjprolo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +25.63 | $0.05 |
1–25
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$116Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.16Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.83Mvolume