Volume
$1K
Txns
58
Traders
25
Fees
$9
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 22, 2026
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17m | morgans-047 | Yes / 36.0¢ | -20.00 | $7.2 | |
| 17m | and22re001 | No / 63.1¢ | -20.00 | $12.6 | |
| 20m | 1PercentBetterT2 | No / 64.0¢ | -37.83 | $24.2 | |
| 20m | morgans-047 | Yes / 35.0¢ | +20.23 | $7.08 | |
| 20m | hejiaan | Yes / 36.0¢ | +33.00 | $11.9 | |
| 20m | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 64.0¢ | -63.00 | $40.3 | |
| 20m | GalyaIskra | No / 64.1¢ | +154.06 | $100 | |
| 56m | marco22 | Yes / 35.1¢ | -5.00 | $1.75 | |
| 56m | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 64.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.2 | |
| 56m | logose | Yes / 35.1¢ | -5.00 | $1.75 | |
| 56m | marco22 | Yes / 36.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.8 | |
| 1h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 41.0¢ | -75.00 | $30.8 | |
| 1h | RazuchiONE | No / 58.0¢ | -90.00 | $52.2 | |
| 1h | Mojito9 | Yes / 41.0¢ | -15.00 | $6.15 | |
| 2h | marco22 | Yes / 37.1¢ | -5.00 | $1.85 | |
| 2h | logose | Yes / 38.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.9 | |
| 2h | marco22 | Yes / 38.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.9 | |
| 2h | logose | Yes / 37.1¢ | -5.00 | $1.85 | |
| 2h | logose | Yes / 38.0¢ | -15.00 | $5.71 | |
| 2h | Mojito9 | Yes / 39.0¢ | +15.00 | $5.85 | |
| 2h | probability | Yes / 38.0¢ | -226.24 | $86.1 | |
| 2h | Dr.PNL | No / 61.0¢ | -22.00 | $13.4 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 39.0¢ | +184.24 | $71.9 | |
| 2h | logose | Yes / 39.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.8 | |
| 4h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 39.0¢ | +15.75 | $6.14 |
1–25
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Yes 69%$323Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
No 76%$260Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Yes 58%$90.7Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
No 98%$74Kvolume
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
No 67%$44Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 89%$115Kvolume