
Volume
$69K
Txns
407
Traders
132
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | EdgeMonster | No / 99.9¢ | -494.50 | $494 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +194.50 | $194 | |
| 3mo | 0xzipper | No / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 3mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 3mo | arb-dog0 | No / 99.6¢ | -495.92 | $494 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | 2B9S | Yes / 0.2¢ | +600.00 | $1.2 | |
| 3mo | MyMoon | Yes / 0.3¢ | +200.00 | $0.6 | |
| 3mo | molodoyy | No / 99.9¢ | -322.64 | $322 | |
| 3mo | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | DiamondHands11 | No / 99.8¢ | +4,654.56 | $4.65K | |
| 3mo | 10KPnl | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $3 | |
| 3mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | wendypeekaboo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 3mo | ng6000 | No / 99.7¢ | -60.00 | $59.8 | |
| 3mo | kromf | Yes / 0.6¢ | +5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | arb-dog0 | No / 99.6¢ | -1.13 | $1.13 | |
| 3mo | dayaoguai | No / 99.4¢ | +11.13 | $11.1 | |
| 3mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.6¢ | +10.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | flemingkelly | Yes / 0.9¢ | +233.33 | $2.1 | |
| 3mo | BSS37 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | ma99 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
No 85%$6.48Kvolume
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$177Kvolume
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in June?
No 100%$4.24Kvolume
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
No 67%$140Kvolume
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
No 100%$19.7Kvolume
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$17.9Kvolume