
Volume
$4K
Txns
162
Traders
45
Fees
$8
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or below the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$2.59Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 83%$1.51Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.18Mvolume
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
No 56%$77.3Kvolume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.41Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
No 94%$111Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3d | probability | No / 99.9¢ | +39.55 | $39.5 | |
| 3d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.55 | $0.03 | |
| 5d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 5d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +65.45 | $0.07 | |
| 5d | 50cents | Yes / 0.1¢ | -215.45 | $0.3 | |
| 5d | 2qlatx09nh4w | No / 96.8¢ | -3.02 | $2.92 | |
| 5d | flexer78 | Yes / 2.1¢ | -3.02 | $0.06 | |
| 5d | flexer78 | Yes / 2.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5d | kartik0x | No / 97.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.89 | |
| 6d | flexer78 | Yes / 1.9¢ | +14.00 | $0.28 | |
| 6d | IceFrosst | No / 98.1¢ | +14.00 | $13.7 | |
| 6d | Colala | Yes / 1.9¢ | +30.00 | $0.57 | |
| 6d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 1.9¢ | +20.00 | $0.38 | |
| 6d | IceFrosst | No / 98.1¢ | +50.00 | $49.1 | |
| 6d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 4.7¢ | -21.28 | $1 | |
| 6d | 0xff7b9ad3Dd3D5329a413f077316900AD082da025-1779960890995 | Yes / 4.7¢ | +21.28 | $1.04 | |
| 6d | Colala | No / 97.6¢ | -29.90 | $29.2 | |
| 6d | 0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395 | No / 97.6¢ | -21.00 | $20.5 | |
| 6d | manicsidequest | Yes / 2.2¢ | -60.81 | $1.32 | |
| 6d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 1.5¢ | +9.91 | $0.15 | |
| 6d | 50cents | Yes / 5.0¢ | -20.00 | $1 | |
| 6d | manicsidequest | Yes / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.04 | |
| 6d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 4.9¢ | -40.82 | $2 |
1–25