Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
ActiveVolume
$141
Txns
15
Traders
11
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Volume
$141
Txns
15
Traders
11
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50m | mei87you | Yes / 90.0¢ | +1.11 | $1 | |
| 50m | flexer78 | Yes / 90.0¢ | -1.11 | $1 | |
| 1h | flexer78 | Yes / 90.0¢ | -1.11 | $1 | |
| 1h | 23dgf | Yes / 90.0¢ | +1.11 | $1 | |
| 2h | mmkk444 | No / 48.7¢ | +20.00 | $9.98 | |
| 2h | flexer78 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +13.11 | $6.69 | |
| 2h | 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578 | No / 48.0¢ | -6.89 | $3.31 | |
| 2h | Grellenort | Yes / 89.4¢ | +111.89 | $101 | |
| 2h | Tee1000 | No / 11.0¢ | +15.00 | $1.65 | |
| 2h | 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578 | No / 5.0¢ | +6.58 | $0.33 | |
| 2h | 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578 | No / 5.0¢ | +0.31 | $0.02 | |
| 2h | melchior1248 | No / 11.0¢ | +50.00 | $5.5 | |
| 2h | LesterDiamond | No / 11.0¢ | +40.00 | $4.4 | |
| 9h | James-Claude | Yes / 48.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.46 | |
| 9h | mdgc | No / 52.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.6 |
1–15
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Yes 89%$160Kvolume
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Yes 97%$828volume
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
No 70%$275Kvolume
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
No 100%$190volume
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
No 100%$152volume
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes 97%$94.6Kvolume