
Volume
$2K
Txns
305
Traders
41
Fees
$1
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Yes 100%$697Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.52Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 100%$213Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 100%$369Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Yes 76%$82.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 93%$2.08Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | liq2 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.42 | $10.4 | |
| 2mo | nrynry | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.35 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.35 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.89 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | pd.unique | No / 99.9¢ | +5.89 | $5.88 | |
| 2mo | pd.unique | No / 99.9¢ | +11.79 | $11.8 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.79 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | pd.unique | No / 99.9¢ | +23.57 | $23.5 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +23.57 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.14 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | pd.unique | No / 99.9¢ | +47.14 | $47.1 | |
| 2mo | 0x4c2a306f6Ede61c38819d7C2b6D5bC4Ec2f25A26-1768899406311 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -41.00 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.00 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -480.52 | $0.46 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +480.52 | $0.48 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +23.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | 0x4c2a306f6Ede61c38819d7C2b6D5bC4Ec2f25A26-1768899406311 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -23.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.03 | $0.06 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.03 | $0.06 | |
| 2mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -48.02 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.02 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.88 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | 0xe6bd...560f6d | Yes / 0.1¢ | -51.88 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | LKAtrade | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.78 | $0.03 |
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