
Volume
$61
Txns
10
Traders
7
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$223
Ends
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Trades
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 98%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
No 83%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 91%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Yes 69%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 61%$0volume
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | graynotebook19 | No / 89.6¢ | +30.00 | $27 | |
| 1d | LornaPredicts | Yes / 10.0¢ | +8.59 | $0.86 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 11.0¢ | +11.91 | $1.31 | |
| 1d | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 10.0¢ | +9.50 | $0.95 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 11.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1d | Anon321321321 | No / 89.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.94 | |
| 1d | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 87.0¢ | +7.00 | $6.12 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 13.0¢ | +7.00 | $0.91 | |
| 1d | aHjCz | No / 87.0¢ | +14.00 | $12.2 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 13.0¢ | +14.00 | $1.82 |