
Volume
$34K
Txns
665
Traders
222
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin comparatively outperforms the NVIDIA (NVDA) in the listed month, with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the month for each asset. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the last day of the specified month in the ET timezone to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the first day of the specified month, 12:00 AM in the ET timezone (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The percentage change in NVIDIA (NVDA) will be calculated by comparing the official NVIDIA (NVDA) Close price for the last trading day of the specified month to the official NVIDIA (NVDA) Close price for the last trading day before the specified month, as reported by the Wall Street Journal (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/NVDA/historical-prices). If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. Exactly equal performance of both assets will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution sources for this market are Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar, and the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices" (US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks, EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea, ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia).
Trades
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
No 96%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 90%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 87%$0volume
Will "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0xb78a...bb5869 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -41.13 | $41.1 | |
| 3mo | 0xa98a...deff82 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.35 | $4.35 | |
| 3mo | 0x05dd...14305c | Yes / 99.9¢ | +26.63 | $26.6 | |
| 3mo | alanhutton | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.15 | $10.1 | |
| 3mo | alanhutton | Yes / 99.9¢ | +389.85 | $389 | |
| 3mo | Tetanclesss | No / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | ears | Yes / 99.9¢ | -357.85 | $357 | |
| 3mo | 0x05dd...14305c | Yes / 99.9¢ | +34.15 | $34.1 | |
| 3mo | ears | Yes / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 3mo | alanhutton | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 3mo | ears | Yes / 99.9¢ | -34.15 | $34.1 | |
| 3mo | 0x05dd...14305c | Yes / 99.8¢ | +0.37 | $0.37 | |
| 3mo | Tetanclesss | No / 0.2¢ | +0.37 | $0 | |
| 3mo | Tetanclesss | No / 0.2¢ | +21.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | alanhutton | Yes / 99.8¢ | +21.00 | $21 | |
| 3mo | Tetanclesss | No / 0.2¢ | +4.63 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | RichardTheTurd | No / 0.2¢ | -4.63 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | bahuaimu | Yes / 98.3¢ | +0.10 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | kanjiaodang | Yes / 97.5¢ | +0.14 | $0.14 | |
| 3mo | yeyicong | Yes / 97.7¢ | +0.15 | $0.15 | |
| 3mo | songdidun | Yes / 98.6¢ | +0.25 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | pmpm123 | Yes / 97.6¢ | -6.00 | $5.85 | |
| 3mo | RichardTheTurd | No / 2.5¢ | -5.36 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | Fain | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.62 | $0.62 | |
| 3mo | zabaniya6666 | No / 0.1¢ | +149.38 | $0.15 |
1–25