
Volume
$10K
Txns
119
Traders
33
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no listed AI app is the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | gaijinbro | No / 99.9¢ | -0.20 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.1¢ | -0.20 | $0 | |
| 2mo | calvinhobbes123 | No / 99.9¢ | -88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 2mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.1¢ | -88.00 | $0.09 | |
| 2mo | calvinhobbes123 | No / 99.9¢ | -708.00 | $707 | |
| 2mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.65 | $0 | |
| 2mo | gaijinbro | No / 99.9¢ | -1.65 | $1.65 | |
| 2mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.1¢ | -562.25 | $0.56 | |
| 2mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -135.75 | $0.14 | |
| 2mo | thegreatrejuvenationoftheChinesenation | No / 99.9¢ | -356.38 | $356 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | HardPanda | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2mo | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | calvinhobbes123 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,916.38 | $2.91K | |
| 2mo | calvinhobbes123 | No / 99.8¢ | +26.00 | $25.9 | |
| 2mo | rocky42017 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +26.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | rocky42017 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +42.00 | $0.08 | |
| 2mo | calvinhobbes123 | No / 99.8¢ | +42.00 | $41.9 | |
| 2mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.2¢ | +800.00 | $1.6 | |
| 2mo | calvinhobbes123 | No / 99.8¢ | +800.00 | $798 | |
| 2mo | alexkrg | Yes / 1.0¢ | +200.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 1.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.1 |
1–25
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Yes 100%$697Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.51Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 100%$213Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 100%$369Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Yes 78%$80.9Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 92%$2.07Mvolume